Iran has elected a new president who is expected to focus primarily on improving the country’s difficult economic situation.
The new president, Masoud Pezeshekian, is anticipated to be another puppet of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the Revolutionary Guards.
His election will not mitigate the Iranian threat to Israel or its efforts to obtain nuclear weapons.
Recent statements by senior Iranian officials indicate that Iran prefers to avoid a regional war in the Middle East, opting instead to expand its ongoing war of attrition against Israel.
The underlying assumption of this strategy is that Israel struggles with prolonged conflicts, potentially weakening its power over time.
Iran is taking advantage of President Biden’s perceived weakness to undermine the anticipated normalization agreement between Israel and Saudi Arabia.
The Saudi crown prince is likely to decide on the normalization agreement with Israel only after the U.S. presidential elections.
Iran has threatened to destroy Israel if it initiates an all-out war against Hezbollah in Lebanon.
In the Israeli security system, this Iranian threat is taken seriously. While not new, it appears Iran is closer to deciding on entering a regional war, a step it has avoided until now.
Intelligence sources in Israel estimate that Iran may attack Israel if a significant military conflict arises between Hezbollah and Israel, fearing a decisive blow to Hezbollah.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards are preparing Shia militias to move from Iraq to Lebanon to support Hezbollah.
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) recommend that the political leadership conclude the military operation in Rafah promptly and refocus on the confrontation with Hezbollah on the northern border.
Israel is acting cautiously, intending to let the Biden administration exhaust all political avenues with Lebanon.
The administration is also keen on achieving a political settlement in southern Lebanon to avert a war that could significantly impact President Biden’s election campaign.
Iran opposes a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip and the hostage deal, and Yahya Sinwar complies with this policy. Sinwar attributes the resignation of Ministers Gantz and Eisenkot from the government to his strategy and is convinced that the Netanyahu government will soon collapse.
The “Arnon” operation to rescue four hostages from the Nuseirat refugee camp was a significant surprise for Hamas, dealing both an operational and morale blow.
However, Hamas is attempting to downplay the success of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF).
For many years, Iran has helped Hamas and Islamic Jihad build a regular army and military outposts in the Gaza Strip to attack Israel.
The Biden administration is working to end the war before the task of completely destroying the military infrastructure that threatens Israel’s existence is completed. The political echelon must stick to this task.
President Biden’s speech on the war in the Gaza Strip focuses pressure on Israel instead of Hamas, reflecting an acceptance of Hamas’s continued rule in Gaza and a failure to address the threat posed by Hezbollah to northern settlements.
Hamas claims to view the speech positively but maintains the same conditions for a hostage release deal and ceasefire.
Iran has elected a new president who is expected to focus primarily on improving the country’s difficult economic situation.
The new president, Masoud Pezeshekian, is anticipated to be another puppet of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the Revolutionary Guards.
His election will not mitigate the Iranian threat to Israel or its efforts to obtain nuclear weapons.
Recent statements by senior Iranian officials indicate that Iran prefers to avoid a regional war in the Middle East, opting instead to expand its ongoing war of attrition against Israel.
The underlying assumption of this strategy is that Israel struggles with prolonged conflicts, potentially weakening its power over time.
Iran is taking advantage of President Biden’s perceived weakness to undermine the anticipated normalization agreement between Israel and Saudi Arabia.
The Saudi crown prince is likely to decide on the normalization agreement with Israel only after the U.S. presidential elections.
Iran has threatened to destroy Israel if it initiates an all-out war against Hezbollah in Lebanon.
In the Israeli security system, this Iranian threat is taken seriously. While not new, it appears Iran is closer to deciding on entering a regional war, a step it has avoided until now.
Intelligence sources in Israel estimate that Iran may attack Israel if a significant military conflict arises between Hezbollah and Israel, fearing a decisive blow to Hezbollah.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards are preparing Shia militias to move from Iraq to Lebanon to support Hezbollah.
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) recommend that the political leadership conclude the military operation in Rafah promptly and refocus on the confrontation with Hezbollah on the northern border.
Israel is acting cautiously, intending to let the Biden administration exhaust all political avenues with Lebanon.
The administration is also keen on achieving a political settlement in southern Lebanon to avert a war that could significantly impact President Biden’s election campaign.
Iran opposes a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip and the hostage deal, and Yahya Sinwar complies with this policy. Sinwar attributes the resignation of Ministers Gantz and Eisenkot from the government to his strategy and is convinced that the Netanyahu government will soon collapse.
The “Arnon” operation to rescue four hostages from the Nuseirat refugee camp was a significant surprise for Hamas, dealing both an operational and morale blow.
However, Hamas is attempting to downplay the success of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF).
For many years, Iran has helped Hamas and Islamic Jihad build a regular army and military outposts in the Gaza Strip to attack Israel.
The Biden administration is working to end the war before the task of completely destroying the military infrastructure that threatens Israel’s existence is completed. The political echelon must stick to this task.
President Biden’s speech on the war in the Gaza Strip focuses pressure on Israel instead of Hamas, reflecting an acceptance of Hamas’s continued rule in Gaza and a failure to address the threat posed by Hezbollah to northern settlements.
Hamas claims to view the speech positively but maintains the same conditions for a hostage release deal and ceasefire.
