Yoni Ben Menachem's Blog - נושא: Terror

Positive Expectations in the Gulf Countries Following the Election of a New President in Iran

9 July 2024

The heads of the Gulf states have sent congratulatory notes to Massoud Pezeshekian, Iran’s new president, acknowledging his election victory. However, concerns about Iran’s expansionist ambitions remain prevalent. Despite his new role, President Pezeshekian lacks control over the Shiite militias in the Middle East and Iran’s subversive policies against moderate Arab regimes.

Pezeshekian’s Two Main Tasks: A New Nuclear Deal and the Lifting of Sanctions on Iran

8 July 2024

The new president of Iran, Massoud Pezeshekian, aims to renew the nuclear agreement with global powers and lift the economic sanctions on Iran, which has already become a nuclear threshold state.
Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei is the ultimate decision-maker on this matter.
Meanwhile, Iran is covertly progressing towards producing nuclear weapons within one to two years.

The Election of the New President in Iran Does Not Reduce the Iranian Threat to Israel

7 July 2024

Iran has elected a new president who is expected to focus primarily on improving the country’s difficult economic situation.
The new president, Masoud Pezeshekian, is anticipated to be another puppet of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the Revolutionary Guards.
His election will not mitigate the Iranian threat to Israel or its efforts to obtain nuclear weapons.

Iran Prefers a War of Attrition Against Israel Over a Regional War

5 July 2024

Recent statements by senior Iranian officials indicate that Iran prefers to avoid a regional war in the Middle East, opting instead to expand its ongoing war of attrition against Israel.
The underlying assumption of this strategy is that Israel struggles with prolonged conflicts, potentially weakening its power over time.

Iran Exploits Biden’s Weakness to Derail Israel-Saudi Normalization Deal

2 July 2024

Iran is taking advantage of President Biden’s perceived weakness to undermine the anticipated normalization agreement between Israel and Saudi Arabia.
The Saudi crown prince is likely to decide on the normalization agreement with Israel only after the U.S. presidential elections.

The Latest Iranian Threat to Destroy Israel: What’s Behind It?

1 July 2024

Iran has threatened to destroy Israel if it initiates an all-out war against Hezbollah in Lebanon.
In the Israeli security system, this Iranian threat is taken seriously. While not new, it appears Iran is closer to deciding on entering a regional war, a step it has avoided until now.

Iran Plans to Transfer Militias to Lebanon in Case of Israeli Invasion to Support Hezbollah

25 June 2024

Intelligence sources in Israel estimate that Iran may attack Israel if a significant military conflict arises between Hezbollah and Israel, fearing a decisive blow to Hezbollah.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards are preparing Shia militias to move from Iraq to Lebanon to support Hezbollah.

Israel Allows the Biden Administration to Pursue a Political Settlement in Southern Lebanon

14 June 2024

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) recommend that the political leadership conclude the military operation in Rafah promptly and refocus on the confrontation with Hezbollah on the northern border.
Israel is acting cautiously, intending to let the Biden administration exhaust all political avenues with Lebanon.
The administration is also keen on achieving a political settlement in southern Lebanon to avert a war that could significantly impact President Biden’s election campaign.

Yahya Sinwar is Acting According to Directives from Tehran

11 June 2024

Iran opposes a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip and the hostage deal, and Yahya Sinwar complies with this policy. Sinwar attributes the resignation of Ministers Gantz and Eisenkot from the government to his strategy and is convinced that the Netanyahu government will soon collapse.

Operation “Arnon” and Hamas’ Response: An Analysis

9 June 2024

The “Arnon” operation to rescue four hostages from the Nuseirat refugee camp was a significant surprise for Hamas, dealing both an operational and morale blow.
However, Hamas is attempting to downplay the success of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF).

Terror

Positive Expectations in the Gulf Countries Following the Election of a New President in Iran

Pezeshekian’s Two Main Tasks: A New Nuclear Deal and the Lifting of Sanctions on Iran

The Election of the New President in Iran Does Not Reduce the Iranian Threat to Israel

Iran Prefers a War of Attrition Against Israel Over a Regional War

Iran Exploits Biden’s Weakness to Derail Israel-Saudi Normalization Deal

The Latest Iranian Threat to Destroy Israel: What’s Behind It?

Iran Plans to Transfer Militias to Lebanon in Case of Israeli Invasion to Support Hezbollah

Israel Allows the Biden Administration to Pursue a Political Settlement in Southern Lebanon

Yahya Sinwar is Acting According to Directives from Tehran

Operation “Arnon” and Hamas’ Response: An Analysis

Positive Expectations in the Gulf Countries Following the Election of a New President in Iran

Pezeshekian’s Two Main Tasks: A New Nuclear Deal and the Lifting of Sanctions on Iran

The Election of the New President in Iran Does Not Reduce the Iranian Threat to Israel

Iran Prefers a War of Attrition Against Israel Over a Regional War

Iran Exploits Biden’s Weakness to Derail Israel-Saudi Normalization Deal

The Latest Iranian Threat to Destroy Israel: What’s Behind It?

Iran Plans to Transfer Militias to Lebanon in Case of Israeli Invasion to Support Hezbollah

Israel Allows the Biden Administration to Pursue a Political Settlement in Southern Lebanon

Yahya Sinwar is Acting According to Directives from Tehran

Operation “Arnon” and Hamas’ Response: An Analysis

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