The resistance axis led by Iran is disappointed 

The expectations of the resistance axis led by Iran for the imminent collapse of Israel were disappointed following Netanyahu's decision to suspend the judicial reform. Hezbollah is preparing for an Israeli response to the attack at the Megiddo Junction and the Palestinian terrorist organizations will increase their attacks ahead of Passover, the axis of resistance still estimates that Israel is weak and may attack it in the month of Ramadan.




Prime Minister Netanyahu’s decision to suspend the judicial reform legislative process until July and open a dialogue with the opposition parties to achieve a new legal reform by agreement created great disappointment among the Iranian leadership and its affiliates in the Middle East, especially among Hezbollah and the Hamas and Islamic Jihad organizations. 

In recent days there has been great euphoria in the resistance  groups led by Iran and an assessment that Israel is facing disintegration due to the great wave of protests against the Israeli government in the hope that it will lead to a civil war that will weaken the IDF and Israeli society and lead to its collapse and the flight of Israeli citizens abroad. 

The axis of the resistance estimated that Israel was living in the most dangerous and difficult period since its establishment that threatens its continued existence. The dismissal of Defense Minister  Yoav Galant was seen as an acute crisis of trust between the political and military ranks in Israel, which prevent Israel from entering into a military conflict with Iran, Hezbollah and the terrorist organizations in the Gaza Strip in this situation. 

The joy at the loss of Israel and the hatred towards it were expressed in the Arab media and social networks, the Arab television channels held live broadcasts from several points in Israel and their commentators presented Israel as a country whose regime is about to collapse like the Arab regimes during the Arab Spring phenomenon in 2011. 

Hezbollah is now concerned that immediately after the appointment of a new defense minister, Israel will respond militarily to the attack at the Megiddo junction and is preparing accordingly. 

The Iranian leadership is re-examining its strategy, it planned to wait until there were advanced signs of collapse of the regime in Israel to start acting, but now the situation has changed, the expected calm in the coming weeks in the internal situation in Israel following Prime Minister Netanyahu’s decision worries it, it hopes that the wave of protests in Israel will continue but at the same time It is preparing for Israel to resume airstrikes on Iranian targets in Syria and Iraq as part of its policy of the war between the wars. 

Hamas officials in the Gaza Strip say that Hamas and the Islamic Jihad organizations are preparing to carry out attacks against Israeli targets in the run-up to Passover. For them, Passover is supposed to be a catalyst for heating up the security situation in East Jerusalem, the Palestinian incitement system is already operating accordingly through the media and social networks. 

There are differences among the Iranian leadership, senior officials in the Revolutionary Guards claim that it was a mistake to wait and let Israel destroy itself and that Iran should act immediately and not allow the Israeli government to recover from the crisis that has befallen it. 

The Palestinian terrorist organizations are taking into account the possibility that Israel has embarked on a path of negotiations between the various camps regarding the judicial reform and therefore they are pinning their hopes on the activity of the armed terrorist groups in the West Bank who will increase the attacks in order to bring about a new intifada. 

The Hamas leadership estimates that the IDF has weakened, there are buds of rebellion and reluctance in it, and it will have difficulty embarking on a major military operation in the Gaza Strip if the Palestinian organizations launch rockets at Israel. 

The axis of the resistance  still estimates that Israel has weakened, its economy has been damaged and its international position has also weakened greatly due to the wave of protests against the judicial reform. 

Iran is encouraged by the fact that the US is concerned about the internal situation in Israel and by the fact that its trust in Prime Minister Netanyahu has weakened greatly, this is the time when the Israeli government must prove that it is still the only democracy in the Middle East and that this will not change, therefore, the decision to suspend the judicial reform was very important, progress In the internal political dialogue within Israel it is very important and is an important component of Israel’s deterrence, the axis of resistance is concerned, therefore the political echelon must strengthen internal cohesion in the face of external threats to Israel’s security, the IDF is a strong army and if Israel’s enemies try to take advantage of what appears to them to be a major weakness of the IDF, they will receive a strong blow. 

Yoni Ben Menachem Senior Middle East Analyst

About Yoni Ben Menachem

Yoni Ben Menachem is a Middle East senior analyst ,a journalist and
the former CEO of the Israel Broadcasting Authority(IBA). He has
decades of experience in written and video journalism. Ben
Menachem’s path in the media world began as a producer for
Japanese television in the Middle East. After that, he held many key
positions in the media The Israeli: CEO of the Israel Broadcasting
Authority, director of “Kol Israel” Radio, reporter on West Bank and
Gaza Strip affairs, political reporter and commentator, commentator
on Middle East affairs and editor-in-chief and presenter of the
program “Middle East Magazine”. 

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