Within the Palestinian arena, growing questions are being raised over why Tehran insists on including Lebanon in any arrangement with Washington while leaving Hamas and the Gaza Strip outside the framework.
Israeli security officials assess that this reflects a strategic decision by Iran, one that places Hezbollah at the top of the “Axis of Resistance” priorities.
The killing of the head of Hamas’s military wing in Gaza is viewed in Israel as a significant intelligence and operational achievement. However, assessments indicate that Hamas will continue to reject disarmament demands and will move quickly to appoint a successor in order to project continuity and sustain the struggle against Israel.
While the confrontation with Iran and developments along the northern front occupy both Israel and the United States, Hamas is exploiting the diplomatic stalemate to delay demands for its disarmament.
At the same time, it is working to consolidate its governance in the Gaza Strip, rebuild its military capabilities, and continue terrorist activity against IDF forces, with the aim of preserving its position ahead of the next phase of the regional conflict.
Behind Turkey’s mediation initiatives between the United States and Iran, as well as in other arenas, officials in Jerusalem and Western capitals identify a broader strategy aimed at managing regional risks, strengthening Turkey’s international standing, and advancing a neo-Ottoman vision. At its core stands President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s ambition to establish Turkey as an unavoidable regional power.
The Lebanon Model in Gaza
Hamas is working to remain the dominant military force in the Gaza Strip behind the scenes, alongside a formal civilian administration, in order to ensure full control for years to come.
Behind the scenes of Hamas’s internal elections, Iran has identified Khalil al-Hayya as a key figure in the movement’s leadership, one capable of preserving deterrence and sustaining the armed struggle against Israel.
Palestinian Authority (PA) President Mahmoud Abbas’s decision to reinstate Nasser al-Kidwa, the nephew of Yasser Arafat, into Fatah marks a clear attempt to project openness and reform within the movement amid growing international pressure and calls to renew the PA’s legitimacy.
The return of the veteran diplomat is expected to strengthen Fatah’s standing both domestically and internationally, pave the way for potential reconciliation with Hamas, and serve as a response to mounting criticism of Abbas’s centralized and allegedly corrupt leadership in Ramallah.
Senior security officials state that Hamas is facing an unprecedented strategic crisis, yet it is determined to survive in the Gaza Strip at any cost and refuses to surrender.
The defense establishment assesses that the likelihood is increasing that Mohammed Sinwar was indeed killed in the Israeli Air Force strike in Khan Younis.
A senior security official estimates that it is still too early to determine how the assassination attempt will impact the negotiations for the release of the hostages.
Senior security officials report significant unrest in the Jordanian street following the government’s decision to outlaw the Muslim Brotherhood movement.
They warn that the Brotherhood might be forced underground and could intensify its subversive activities against King Abdullah.
According to these officials, the King is also considering declaring the Brotherhood’s political wing a terrorist organization or dissolving Parliament and calling for new elections.
Within the Palestinian arena, growing questions are being raised over why Tehran insists on including Lebanon in any arrangement with Washington while leaving Hamas and the Gaza Strip outside the framework.
Israeli security officials assess that this reflects a strategic decision by Iran, one that places Hezbollah at the top of the “Axis of Resistance” priorities.
The killing of the head of Hamas’s military wing in Gaza is viewed in Israel as a significant intelligence and operational achievement. However, assessments indicate that Hamas will continue to reject disarmament demands and will move quickly to appoint a successor in order to project continuity and sustain the struggle against Israel.
While the confrontation with Iran and developments along the northern front occupy both Israel and the United States, Hamas is exploiting the diplomatic stalemate to delay demands for its disarmament.
At the same time, it is working to consolidate its governance in the Gaza Strip, rebuild its military capabilities, and continue terrorist activity against IDF forces, with the aim of preserving its position ahead of the next phase of the regional conflict.
Behind Turkey’s mediation initiatives between the United States and Iran, as well as in other arenas, officials in Jerusalem and Western capitals identify a broader strategy aimed at managing regional risks, strengthening Turkey’s international standing, and advancing a neo-Ottoman vision. At its core stands President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s ambition to establish Turkey as an unavoidable regional power.
The Lebanon Model in Gaza
Hamas is working to remain the dominant military force in the Gaza Strip behind the scenes, alongside a formal civilian administration, in order to ensure full control for years to come.
Behind the scenes of Hamas’s internal elections, Iran has identified Khalil al-Hayya as a key figure in the movement’s leadership, one capable of preserving deterrence and sustaining the armed struggle against Israel.
Palestinian Authority (PA) President Mahmoud Abbas’s decision to reinstate Nasser al-Kidwa, the nephew of Yasser Arafat, into Fatah marks a clear attempt to project openness and reform within the movement amid growing international pressure and calls to renew the PA’s legitimacy.
The return of the veteran diplomat is expected to strengthen Fatah’s standing both domestically and internationally, pave the way for potential reconciliation with Hamas, and serve as a response to mounting criticism of Abbas’s centralized and allegedly corrupt leadership in Ramallah.
Senior security officials state that Hamas is facing an unprecedented strategic crisis, yet it is determined to survive in the Gaza Strip at any cost and refuses to surrender.
The defense establishment assesses that the likelihood is increasing that Mohammed Sinwar was indeed killed in the Israeli Air Force strike in Khan Younis.
A senior security official estimates that it is still too early to determine how the assassination attempt will impact the negotiations for the release of the hostages.
Senior security officials report significant unrest in the Jordanian street following the government’s decision to outlaw the Muslim Brotherhood movement.
They warn that the Brotherhood might be forced underground and could intensify its subversive activities against King Abdullah.
According to these officials, the King is also considering declaring the Brotherhood’s political wing a terrorist organization or dissolving Parliament and calling for new elections.
