Yoni Ben Menachem's Blog

What Are the Implications of the Houthis Joining the War Alongside Iran?

31 March 2026

Senior security officials assess that the Houthis in Yemen are likely to expand the theater of conflict by targeting maritime traffic in the Red Sea and attempting to disrupt navigation through the Bab al-Mandeb Strait in support of Iran.
Iran, for its part, appears to be pursuing a “pincer strategy” involving both the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab al-Mandeb, aiming to intensify pressure on the global economy in an effort to halt the war.

Will the Houthis in Yemen Join the War?

10 March 2026

U.S. and Israeli intelligence assessments indicate that, at this stage, the Houthis in Yemen are providing only indirect support to Iran. However, as the situation of the Iranian regime deteriorates, the likelihood increases that they may eventually join the conflict and launch attacks against American and Israeli targets.

Israel Seeks to Establish a New Regional Axis to Advance Its Strategic Objectives

2 March 2026

From Containing Iran to Preparing for a Rising Sunni Axis – Israel Attempts to Reengineer the Regional Order Through a Multi-Lateral Alliance

A Historic Opportunity to Replace the Regime in Iran

28 January 2026

Senior officials in Israel are concerned that a historic opportunity to replace the ayatollahs’ regime in Iran may be missed if President Trump does not exploit the current crisis and refrains from striking Iran.

Reza Pahlavi is viewed as a symbolic figure for alternative leadership. Israel and the United States favor a gradual transition of power while preserving the oil industry, in order to prevent chaos, weapons proliferation, and the strengthening of regional power centers in the event of a collapse of the Iranian regime.

Is Lebanon on a Path Toward Normalization with Israel?

10 December 2025

Despite recent signs of political flexibility, including the integration of civilians into the ceasefire monitoring committee, Lebanon remains shackled by Hezbollah and bound to the Arab consensus condition of a Palestinian state. As a result, it is still far from any real progress toward normalization with Israel.

Why Did the PA President Reinstated Nasser al-Kidwa into Fatah?

21 October 2025

Palestinian Authority (PA) President Mahmoud Abbas’s decision to reinstate Nasser al-Kidwa, the nephew of Yasser Arafat, into Fatah marks a clear attempt to project openness and reform within the movement amid growing international pressure and calls to renew the PA’s legitimacy.

The return of the veteran diplomat is expected to strengthen Fatah’s standing both domestically and internationally, pave the way for potential reconciliation with Hamas, and serve as a response to mounting criticism of Abbas’s centralized and allegedly corrupt leadership in Ramallah.

What Lies Behind Egypt’s Violations of the Peace Agreement with Israel?

19 February 2025

Israel’s political leadership is deeply concerned about Egypt’s violations of the peace agreement in the Sinai Peninsula and intends to address the issue with the Trump administration.
Senior security officials warn that despite the peace treaty, Egypt has a vested interest in weakening Israel militarily and politically.
They argue that it is time to abandon the misconceptions that led to the intelligence failure on October 7, 2023.

President Trump Stands Firmly with Israel Against Hamas

11 February 2025

President Trump has taken an unequivocal stance in support of Israel following Hamas’s announcement that it is postponing the release of Israeli hostages.
In response, Trump has threatened severe consequences if the hostages are not freed, declaring, “If all the hostages are not released by Saturday at 12:00 noon, I would cancel the ceasefire and let all hell break loose.”

Hamas Seeks to End the War and Project Victory

20 January 2025

Hamas is striving to buy time and prevent Israel from resuming military operations in the Gaza Strip to maintain its grip on power and demonstrate that Israel has failed to achieve its war objectives.
Senior security officials estimate that Hamas is counting on the Trump administration to prevent Israel from resuming hostilities. As a result, Hamas is taking measures to avoid giving Israel any justification for renewing the conflict.

Fear of a Security Escalation in Judea and Samaria Following the Release of Terrorists

19 January 2025

The Israeli security establishment is preparing for a potential security escalation in Judea and Samaria due to the anticipated release of hundreds of terrorists as part of the deal between Israel and Hamas.
Palestinian Authority (PA) officials estimate that the release will empower armed terrorist groups, potentially destabilizing the PA and escalating attacks.

war

What Are the Implications of the Houthis Joining the War Alongside Iran?

Will the Houthis in Yemen Join the War?

Israel Seeks to Establish a New Regional Axis to Advance Its Strategic Objectives

A Historic Opportunity to Replace the Regime in Iran

Is Lebanon on a Path Toward Normalization with Israel?

Why Did the PA President Reinstated Nasser al-Kidwa into Fatah?

What Lies Behind Egypt’s Violations of the Peace Agreement with Israel?

President Trump Stands Firmly with Israel Against Hamas

Hamas Seeks to End the War and Project Victory

Fear of a Security Escalation in Judea and Samaria Following the Release of Terrorists

What Are the Implications of the Houthis Joining the War Alongside Iran?

Will the Houthis in Yemen Join the War?

Israel Seeks to Establish a New Regional Axis to Advance Its Strategic Objectives

A Historic Opportunity to Replace the Regime in Iran

Is Lebanon on a Path Toward Normalization with Israel?

Why Did the PA President Reinstated Nasser al-Kidwa into Fatah?

What Lies Behind Egypt’s Violations of the Peace Agreement with Israel?

President Trump Stands Firmly with Israel Against Hamas

Hamas Seeks to End the War and Project Victory

Fear of a Security Escalation in Judea and Samaria Following the Release of Terrorists

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