The axis of resistance led by Iran against Israel in Ramadan 

The Palestinian terrorist organizations, in coordination with Hezbollah and Iran, are preparing for a major military confrontation with Israel towards Ramadan. It is a strategic decision by the axis of resistance, the preparations for this lasted a long time and also included large smuggling of weapons into Israel and Judea and Samaria.




The infiltration of the terrorist from Lebanese territory into the Galilee and carrying out an attack in the Megiddo area using a sophisticated explosive device is an intelligence and operational failure of the IDF, the political echelon should have ordered a military response, the lack of response further erodes Israel’s deterrence. 

The terrorist who infiltrated Israeli territory was Palestinian and it is believed that he belongs to the Hamas forces in southern Lebanon and was trained by Hezbollah experts on how to activate the sophisticated explosive device.


Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah knew about the infiltration operation and approved it, it was a joint operation by Hezbollah and Hamas without leaving fingerprints, the two organizations did not take responsibility for the attack. 

According to intelligence information from various sources, the assessment among Israeli security officials is growing that the approaching month of Ramadan will be an unprecedented point of conflict with the Palestinian terrorist factions on several fronts that may deteriorate into a military conflict more acute than the conflict in the Gaza Strip in May 2021. 

The visible signs also testify to this, the Hamas and Islamic Jihad organizations have increased the incitement against Israel in recent weeks and launched a campaign of psychological warfare to weaken Israel morally. 

Saleh al-Aruri, the vice chairman of the Hamas movement and the head of its military wing in the West Bank, the man who coordinates the activity with Hezbollah, said in a special interview he gave to the official website of Hamas on March 14 that the events to come will be very difficult for the occupation and its settlers, the resistance in the West Bank is in a state of escalation is ongoing and it is diversifying its tools. 

He called on the Palestinians to establish popular committees in the field to confront the settlers and protect the villages and towns of the Palestinians. 

Marwan Issa, the deputy commander of Hamas’s military wing in the Gaza Strip, hinted at the possibility of massive rocket fire from the Gaza Strip towards Israel, he told the Al-Aqsa channel on March 15 that the political project in the West Bank has ended, the enemy brought the Oslo Accords to an end and the coming days will be full of events, Any escalation in the Al-Aqsa Mosque will result in an explosion that the Gaza Strip will not look at from the side. 

The spokesman for the military wing of the Islamic Jihad threatened Israel with a new intifada and a conflict it had never experienced before. 

The accumulation of these statements by the heads of the terrorist organizations in the media and the intelligence information indicate an impending escalation, the security meeting initiated by the US in Aqaba has failed and it is very doubtful whether Israel will be able to stop the approaching tsunami of terrorism since this is a strategic decision by the terrorist organizations in coordination with Iran. 

To this must also be added the increasing use of explosive devices in the territories of Judea and Samaria and an attempt to activate them also within the territory of Israel itself, the Shin Bet has recently foiled several attacks using explosive devices by Palestinians from Judea and Samaria who were recruited by Hamas from the Gaza Strip through social networks. 

According to officials in the military wing of Hamas, the attack on Dizengoff Street in Tel Aviv marks the organization’s decision to resume attacks within the Green Line. 


Hezbollah tightened coordination with Hamas and Islamic Jihad  


According to security sources, the Hezbollah Secretary General increased his coordination meetings in the al-Dahiya neighborhood in Beirut with Ziyad Al-Nakhla, the Secretary General of the Islamic Jihad, and with Saleh Al-Aruri, the head of the military wing of Hamas, towards the beginning of the month of Ramadan, and that an agreement was reached between Hezbollah, Hamas and the Islamic Jihad and the Revolutionary Guards in Iran for increasing terrorist activities in the coming days. 

Hassan Nasrallah said last week that Israel will collapse even before it marks the 80th year of its founding, the internal dispute in Israel and the wave of protest because of the legal reform increased the feeling among the terrorist organizations that Israel is on the verge of disintegration and that this is the time to increase the pressure on it through terrorist acts. 

The agreement on the distribution of Lebanon’s economic waters that was signed on October 27 last year did not reduce Hezbollah’s motivation for terrorism against Israel, and it allows the Hamas organization to strengthen its military infrastructure in southern Lebanon and in the refugee camps in Tire and Sidon. 

Hamas officials say that the attacks on Israel in the coming days will be from all directions according to the doctrine of unification of the fronts, including rocket fire from southern Lebanon and infiltration operations from southern Lebanon into Israeli territory. 

According to security officials in Israel, behind all this activity is Iran, which in the past year has taken care of huge arms smuggling through Jordan to the northern West Bank into the hands of the terrorist organizations. 

The axis of resistance led by Iran is preparing for a major escalation in the month of Ramadan. Israel is also seriously preparing for a scenario that may be bigger than the military conflict that took place in May 2021. 


Yoni Ben Menachem Senior Middle East Analyst

About Yoni Ben Menachem

Yoni Ben Menachem is a Middle East senior analyst ,a journalist and
the former CEO of the Israel Broadcasting Authority(IBA). He has
decades of experience in written and video journalism. Ben
Menachem’s path in the media world began as a producer for
Japanese television in the Middle East. After that, he held many key
positions in the media The Israeli: CEO of the Israel Broadcasting
Authority, director of “Kol Israel” Radio, reporter on West Bank and
Gaza Strip affairs, political reporter and commentator, commentator
on Middle East affairs and editor-in-chief and presenter of the
program “Middle East Magazine”. 

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