General rehearsal for a regional war 

The attack on Israel with rockets from several fronts combined with the wave of terrorism is a general rehearsal for an Iranian attack that will lead to a regional war. Iran is practicing coordination with its affiliates in preparation for the attack and drawing lessons from Israel's reactions, the purpose and timing are currently unknown but Israel should prepare for a pre-emptive strike.



The escalation against Israel from several fronts at the same time during the month of Ramadan was coordinated in advance by the axis of resistance led by Iran, it is not clear how it will end and when, but a senior Hamas official estimates that this is a general rehearsal for an Iranian attack that will also lead to a regional war. 

Israeli intelligence sources estimate that Iran is planning a major attack on Israel at a time it chooses through its affiliates, without fingerprints and without incriminating itself, so that Israel will have no excuse to attack it. 

The Israeli security establishment is preparing for World Jerusalem Day, which falls on the last Friday of the month of Ramadan, for fear that the axis of evil led by Iran will try to surprise Israel. 

A senior security official compares the planned Iranian attack on Israeli targets to the attack initiated by Iran on the Aramco oil facilities in Al-Bouqeik, Saudi Arabia on September 14th, 2019. 

Iran officially used the Houthi rebels loyal to it who announced that they had launched cruise missiles and drones at the oil production facilities in Saudi Arabia, it managed to surprise Saudi Arabia and the Western countries, but intelligence sources in Israel claim that the missiles and drones were launched from the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Air Force Base in the Ahwaz region. 

The attack on the Saudi oil facilities resulted in the shutdown of the oil facilities and a dramatic reduction in Saudi oil production. 

The Iranian general rehearsal was intended to test the operational readiness and competence of the members of the axis of evil and the means of communication and coordination between them in preparation for the confrontation with Israel.

It also examines the ways of the Israeli response to try and find Israel’s weak points. 

The Secretary General of Hezbollah is the executive contractor of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards that operates Hamas and Islamic Jihad, General Ismail Qa’ani, commander of the Quds Force operates the Iranian militias in Iraq, Syria and Yemen. 

 The New York Times reported on April 9 that the Revolutionary Guards also plan to attack Israeli-owned ships in the Persian Gulf and the Arabian Sea in retaliation for the killing of two Iranian officers in Syria attributed to Israel. 

Therefore, the Biden administration launched the nuclear submarine “Florida” into the Red Sea region to deter Iran from initiating new attacks in the region. 

 Iran’s self-confidence is high and it no longer bothers to hide the coordination with the members in the axis of evil against Israel, the coordination that was previously secret has now become open accompanied by media coverage in Syria and Lebanon. 

The arrogance of the axis of evil led by Iran is reflected in what Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah said after the attack at the Megiddo Junction when he sent Defense Minister Yoav Galant to tile the sea. 

The general rehearsal  of the axis of evil in preparation for the attack on Israel was made at a time that is not convenient for the State of Israel, during the period of the month of Ramadan, Passover and the events of Memorial Day and Independence Day, Israel does not wish to be dragged into an extensive military conflict on several fronts during this period. 

Iran has so far activated four fronts against Israel: the armed groups in the northern West Bank, the Gaza Strip, southern Lebanon and Syria. 

The recent attacks at the Megiddo Junction, in the Jordan Valley and in Tel Aviv increased the sense of success of Palestinian terrorism and gave it the feeling that it is at the beginning of a new phase of confrontation against Israel. 

The Al-Aqsa Mosque is the trigger that is supposed to ignite the regional conflict again this time, Israel was ambushed by Hamas in the Al-Aqsa Mosque and the harsh images of policemen beating rioters who were equipped with stones, explosive devices and fireworks, were enough to ignite the Arab world and create a comfortable atmosphere of confrontation for 

The axis of evil led by Iran, Hassan Nasrallah has warned several times in his speeches that the Al-Aqsa Mosque is a red line and any damage to it will lead to a regional war. 

Hamas took advantage of the events for the first operational activation of the military wing of South Lebanon against Israel and it launched 34 rockets towards the Galilee.

Israel has no control over Iranian planning, it has to be careful not to make mistakes that will be used by Iran and its affiliates. 

The hand that shakes the cradle of terrorism is the hand of Iran, Hezbollah is also hiding and prefers to engage the Palestinians in terrorist activities so that the responsibility does not fall on it. 

The security meetings initiated by the US in Aqaba and Sharm el-Sheikh ahead of the month of Ramadan with the participation of Israel, the Palestinian Authority, Jordan and Egypt failed and did not achieve calm. The Al-Aqsa Mosque will continue to be used as an explosive or regional trigger. 

The Israeli mission at the moment is to locate the target and the timing of the planned Iranian attack and thwart it, or to get ahead of Iran and land a pre-emptive strike on it or its affiliates before the attack is carried out. 

Yoni Ben Menachem Senior Middle East Analyst

About Yoni Ben Menachem

Yoni Ben Menachem is a Middle East senior analyst ,a journalist and
the former CEO of the Israel Broadcasting Authority(IBA). He has
decades of experience in written and video journalism. Ben
Menachem’s path in the media world began as a producer for
Japanese television in the Middle East. After that, he held many key
positions in the media The Israeli: CEO of the Israel Broadcasting
Authority, director of “Kol Israel” Radio, reporter on West Bank and
Gaza Strip affairs, political reporter and commentator, commentator
on Middle East affairs and editor-in-chief and presenter of the
program “Middle East Magazine”. 

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