Concerns Within the U.S.
Some members of the Arab and Muslim communities in the U.S. who supported Trump are expressing dissatisfaction with his recent appointments, particularly those who back the Israeli settlement enterprise.
Critics argue that such policies may hinder efforts to end the Gaza conflict and bring peace to the Middle East.
Many Arab and Muslim voters supported Trump out of frustration with the Biden administration’s handling of Israel’s actions in Gaza, described by some as a “war of extermination.”
These voters may regret their decision if Trump fails to deliver on his promises.
Trump’s Focus on Regional Conflicts
As he prepares to assume office in January, Trump appears intent on addressing major global and regional conflicts, including:
- Ending the war in Ukraine.
- Resolving the conflict in Gaza and securing the release of hostages, including Americans.
- Halting the war in Lebanon.
- Containing Iran’s nuclear ambitions.
- Countering China’s geopolitical challenges.
Reports suggest Trump’s team is already working behind the scenes.
For instance, billionaire Elon Musk reportedly held secret talks with Iran’s UN ambassador, Saeed Irvani, on reducing tensions.
Expanding the Abraham Accords
Trump aims to build on the Abraham Accords, prioritizing normalization between Israel and Saudi Arabia.
His approach emphasizes deals and sanctions over military interventions.
During his previous term, Trump withdrew from the Iran nuclear deal and imposed crippling sanctions, contrasting with Biden’s softer “containment doctrine.”
Israel, aware of Trump’s intentions, is reportedly working to conclude the wars in Gaza and Lebanon before his inauguration. However, much depends on actors like Hamas and Hezbollah.
Challenges and Criticism
Trump’s unpredictability remains a concern. While his support for Israel is unwavering—evidenced by his refusal to impose an arms embargo—his policies could lead to clashes with the international community.
For example, reviving cuts to UNRWA funding may spark tensions with Europe.
There are indications Trump may revive his “deal of the century” proposal for Israeli-Palestinian peace, albeit with updates.
This plan envisions a Palestinian state covering 70% of the West Bank and Gaza, alongside expanded Israeli settlements.
Jordan has expressed concerns about losing its custodianship of the Temple Mount to Saudi Arabia under Trump’s plan.
Iran Policy
Trump has signaled a willingness to negotiate a new nuclear deal with Iran but also appears prepared to impose severe sanctions, particularly on its oil industry.
Reports suggest he may even greenlight Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites.
Conclusion
The Middle East is closely watching Trump’s preparations.
While his administration’s senior team is expected to shape a bold policy agenda, doubts linger over their ability to achieve stability in a region fraught with complex challenges. Trump’s success—or failure—will likely define his legacy and determine whether he achieves the global recognition he seeks.
