Yahya Sinwar’s Controversial Deal to Halt the War

The Israeli government's approval of a prisoner exchange deal with Hamas has sparked heated debates, as it prioritizes the release of hostages over the ongoing occupation of the Gaza Strip.

In a controversial move, Israel opted for a partial deal with Hamas following the abduction of over 200 Israelis from settlements in the Gaza Strip on October 7.

The War Cabinet’s decision to prioritize the release of abductees, even at the expense of a ceasefire and concessions to Hamas, has raised concerns.

The deal includes the release of 150 terrorists, a 4-day ceasefire, and the provision of fuel and humanitarian aid to the Gaza Strip.

While the government justifies the move as a necessary step to save Israeli civilians from the grasp of Hamas, critics argue that it succumbed to blackmail by Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar.

They contend that a more strategic approach would have involved sustained military pressure on Hamas until its military wing’s power was significantly weakened, allowing for a more comprehensive deal.

Hamas, on the other hand, celebrates the Israeli government’s approval as a victory.

Yahya Sinwar, having achieved a temporary halt to the IDF’s advance in the Gaza Strip, plans to use the ceasefire to regroup his forces, replenish supplies, and fortify positions.

Sinwar’s alleged deceptive strategy involves leveraging the ceasefire to propose new deals to Israel for the release of additional hostages.

This so-called “Salami method” aims to buy time, during which Hamas can exert international pressure on Israel to pursue further prisoner exchange deals.

As the short ceasefire approaches its end, Israel faces crucial decisions.

Will it resume attacks on Hamas immediately, thwarting attempts at further extortion?

Can it withstand international pressure to halt the war entirely?

The role of Qatar in mediating the prisoner exchange deal adds another layer of complexity.

Critics argue that Qatar, being close to both Iran and Hamas, cannot be a fair mediator and has interests aligned with Hamas.

Qatar’s history of supporting various terrorist organizations further fuels concerns.

Suggestions emerge that Egypt should replace Qatar as the primary mediator.

Looking ahead, questions arise about Israel’s post-war actions.

Calls to distance Qatar from influencing Gaza Strip reconstruction highlight concerns about its alignment with Hamas interests.

As the situation unfolds, the Israeli government faces the challenge of navigating a complex geopolitical landscape while adhering to its original goals of ending Hamas rule and securing the release of all abductees.

Yoni Ben Menachem Senior Middle East Analyst

About Yoni Ben Menachem

Yoni Ben Menachem is a Middle East senior analyst ,a journalist and
the former CEO of the Israel Broadcasting Authority(IBA). He has
decades of experience in written and video journalism. Ben
Menachem’s path in the media world began as a producer for
Japanese television in the Middle East. After that, he held many key
positions in the media The Israeli: CEO of the Israel Broadcasting
Authority, director of “Kol Israel” Radio, reporter on West Bank and
Gaza Strip affairs, political reporter and commentator, commentator
on Middle East affairs and editor-in-chief and presenter of the
program “Middle East Magazine”. 

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