Who will lead Iran the day after? The assassination of Ali Larijani has shaken the centers of power at the top of the Iranian regime and placed Mojtaba Khamenei before a critical test of survival, while the status of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commanders continues to strengthen.
Senior Israeli officials assess that a series of strategic failures by the clerical regime, across the fields of nuclear development, regional alliances, and deterrence, have weakened Iran and left it more vulnerable than ever in the current confrontation.
The appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei as Iran’s new Supreme Leader is being perceived in Tehran as a declaration of resilience against American and Israeli pressure. However, in Jerusalem, the move is viewed as placing the new leader squarely in the crosshairs, potentially making him a prime target in efforts to dismantle the Iranian regime.
A potential American military strike could once again set the Iranian street ablaze. Senior security officials assess that only a combination of systemic internal collapse and ineffective repression would be capable of triggering a broad uprising.
Against the backdrop of Iran’s gradual weakening, a new Sunni coalition is beginning to take form. At its center stands Turkey, seeking regional leadership and signaling a reassessment of the nuclear option as a means of reshaping the balance of deterrence.
Behind Turkey’s mediation initiatives between the United States and Iran, as well as in other arenas, officials in Jerusalem and Western capitals identify a broader strategy aimed at managing regional risks, strengthening Turkey’s international standing, and advancing a neo-Ottoman vision. At its core stands President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s ambition to establish Turkey as an unavoidable regional power.
Senior officials in Israel are concerned that a historic opportunity to replace the ayatollahs’ regime in Iran may be missed if President Trump does not exploit the current crisis and refrains from striking Iran.
Reza Pahlavi is viewed as a symbolic figure for alternative leadership. Israel and the United States favor a gradual transition of power while preserving the oil industry, in order to prevent chaos, weapons proliferation, and the strengthening of regional power centers in the event of a collapse of the Iranian regime.
The Iranian regime is facing a combination of expanding popular protest, a resounding military failure, and growing international pressure. This situation threatens its stability and raises doubts about its ability to survive the current crisis.
The unprecedented U.S. military operation in Venezuela and the abduction of its president, Nicolás Maduro, is shaking the global support network of Iran, narrowing the operational space available to Hezbollah and Hamas, strengthening American deterrence, and indirectly improving Israel’s strategic position, according to senior security officials.
Behind the scenes of Hamas’s internal elections, Iran has identified Khalil al-Hayya as a key figure in the movement’s leadership, one capable of preserving deterrence and sustaining the armed struggle against Israel.
Who will lead Iran the day after? The assassination of Ali Larijani has shaken the centers of power at the top of the Iranian regime and placed Mojtaba Khamenei before a critical test of survival, while the status of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commanders continues to strengthen.
Senior Israeli officials assess that a series of strategic failures by the clerical regime, across the fields of nuclear development, regional alliances, and deterrence, have weakened Iran and left it more vulnerable than ever in the current confrontation.
The appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei as Iran’s new Supreme Leader is being perceived in Tehran as a declaration of resilience against American and Israeli pressure. However, in Jerusalem, the move is viewed as placing the new leader squarely in the crosshairs, potentially making him a prime target in efforts to dismantle the Iranian regime.
A potential American military strike could once again set the Iranian street ablaze. Senior security officials assess that only a combination of systemic internal collapse and ineffective repression would be capable of triggering a broad uprising.
Against the backdrop of Iran’s gradual weakening, a new Sunni coalition is beginning to take form. At its center stands Turkey, seeking regional leadership and signaling a reassessment of the nuclear option as a means of reshaping the balance of deterrence.
Behind Turkey’s mediation initiatives between the United States and Iran, as well as in other arenas, officials in Jerusalem and Western capitals identify a broader strategy aimed at managing regional risks, strengthening Turkey’s international standing, and advancing a neo-Ottoman vision. At its core stands President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s ambition to establish Turkey as an unavoidable regional power.
Senior officials in Israel are concerned that a historic opportunity to replace the ayatollahs’ regime in Iran may be missed if President Trump does not exploit the current crisis and refrains from striking Iran.
Reza Pahlavi is viewed as a symbolic figure for alternative leadership. Israel and the United States favor a gradual transition of power while preserving the oil industry, in order to prevent chaos, weapons proliferation, and the strengthening of regional power centers in the event of a collapse of the Iranian regime.
The Iranian regime is facing a combination of expanding popular protest, a resounding military failure, and growing international pressure. This situation threatens its stability and raises doubts about its ability to survive the current crisis.
The unprecedented U.S. military operation in Venezuela and the abduction of its president, Nicolás Maduro, is shaking the global support network of Iran, narrowing the operational space available to Hezbollah and Hamas, strengthening American deterrence, and indirectly improving Israel’s strategic position, according to senior security officials.
Behind the scenes of Hamas’s internal elections, Iran has identified Khalil al-Hayya as a key figure in the movement’s leadership, one capable of preserving deterrence and sustaining the armed struggle against Israel.
